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PVEL 2022 PV Module Reliability Scorecard — More Panels Pass All 5 Main Tests Than Ever Before.
PVEL stands for PV Evolution Labs. Their speciality is torturing solar panels to determine how tough they are. Every year they publish a report that separates Top Performing panels from those they don’t call Top Performing. This year was no different — except in the ways it wasn’t the same.
This time, instead of their usual long report, they only put out a 10-page summary. I don’t know why they’d do this. Putting effort into writing a lengthy report and then people making fun of it on the internet is the peak human experience.
Despite its brevity, there’s very useful information in the ten pages called:
“2022 PV Module Reliability Scorecard: PDF Summary”
You can download the document here.
In this article, which will be a summary of a summary, I’ll briefly describe…
It’s a pity they shrunk their format this year because they didn’t even have room to emphasise that far more panels passed all five physical tests than ever before. Because PVEL doesn’t test a random sample, we can’t be sure the durability of panels has improved, but I’m going to say they have anyway.
“Yep… I’m pretty sure this is a solar panel.”
Manufacturers pay PVEL to see how well their panels stand up to abuse. PVEL follows a strict methodology involving factory witnesses who ensure modules are made with the correct materials and choose solar panels for testing by randomly selecting them off the assembly line to ensure everything is above board.
After subjecting panels to grueling tests that simulate decades of exposure to the elements, those that suffer minimal deterioration — generally under 2% — are called “Top Performers”. Each year PVEL publishes which panels received Top Performer status, as they did in their summary this year.
They don’t publish which solar panels failed or whether or not they tested a particular panel. This means we can use the information they provide to say a panel is good, but we can’t say a module that isn’t a Top Performer isn’t good because we have no way of knowing if it was tested.
If I had a lot of money2, I could buy a full version of the report with information on which panels failed, but they’d only sell it to me if I promised not to write about it.
Usually I’d find exciting bits of solar information in their scorecard report, but this year I’ve had to scrape them off the PVEL website instead. This graph shows a temporary solar glass shortage starting in late 2020 due to many manufacturers switching to thinner, 2mm sheets. (Image originally from Exawatt.)
The list of components used to make a solar panel is called a Bill Of Materials or BOM. Panels that are the same model can use different Bills Of Materials. This can affect module durability and how likely they are to pass tests.
If you want to build a solar farm, you can pay PVEL for the detailed version of their report that provides information on which BOMs are the most durable. You can then go to a manufacturer and demand they get off their lousy BOMs and make panels for you with a BOM that can be exposed for decades to the Australian outdoors without problem.
If you are a homeowner putting solar panels on your roof, you don’t have the market power to demand a specific BOM. What does improve your chances of having a nice BOM is Australia’s consumer law. Australian Consumer Guarantees mean you can receive a repair, replacement, or refund for a defective product regardless of its warranty or the small print it may contain. This applies to any panel manufacturer with an office in Australia. If they don’t have an office, then it applies to the importer. So if you buy a panel from a manufacturer with an office in Australia that intends to do business here long term and has a reputation to protect, then chances are your BOM will be fine.
PVEL has five main physical tests they put solar panels through to determine how likely they are to resist different forms of panel degradation over decades of exposure to the elements:
The PVEL summary also gave information on PAN Performance; which is a simulation of how well panels will perform in a solar farm, but the results aren’t very useful for rooftop solar power, so I won’t go into it.
I describe the five main tests below:
Solar panels heat up during the day and cool down at night. This temperature change is called a thermal cycle.
And then god sent a rainbow as a message to the world that, once more, she had thermally cycled the solar panels.
Temperature change causes different materials to expand and contract at different rates. This puts the joins between them under strain. Over time this can damage the electrical connections in solar panels and decrease performance. Passing this test is especially important for panels in the outback, where the temperature difference between day and night is often extreme.
The test involves cooling panels to -40°C and then raising them to 85°C. This is done 600 times. The 125°C temperature differential is much greater than a module would normally ever experience in use. I’d have a tough time surviving even one cycle, but PVEL says 90% of tested solar panels tested degraded less than 2% and were classed as Top Performers. This indicates manufacturers have come a long way on this measure of reliability.
High temperatures and humidity are bad for electronics, and solar panels are electronic. Exposure to conditions found in tropical Australia can cause:
PVEL locks the panels in a test chamber at 85°C and 85% humidity for 1,000 hours to test how well the modules resist these problems. Then, when they think it’s over, to crush their spirits completely, they do it all again for another 1,000 hours.
PVEL said 50% of panels tested degraded less than 2% after this sauna torture. But one module in this round of testing was the worst they’d ever seen, with a 54% fall in performance. You’d want to avoid installing one like that in Darwin.
Some panels recovered some of their lost performance after resting at normal temperatures and humidity. Since the test conditions were unrealistically bad, involving conditions not seen in real life, it seems fair to count their performance after they’ve had a break. A total of 27% of the solar panels tested that suffered less than 2% deterioration only achieved this after the rest period.
Panels can flex in the wind, and this places them under mechanical stress. Snow piling up can do the same. This stress can reduce output by causing solar cells to crack and damaging electrical connections. This can create dangerous hot spots rapidly leading to panel failure.
In a worst-case situation, the panel glass can break. This usually doesn’t happen outside of cyclones, but PVEL testing is severe, and the majority of solar panel failures were due to broken glass rather than loss of output.
Here’s a panel where the glass broke under mechanical stress applied by PVEL’s robotic stomp-a-tron. (Note: “Robotic stomp-a-tron” is a completely made-up term. But it should be real!) Image credit: PVEL
Of the panels tested, 72% had glass that resisted the punishment without breaking while also suffering less than 2% deterioration in output. Longer panels were more resistant, with 80% of those that passed being over 2.1m long while only 68% of modules shorter than this passed.
Potential Induced Degradation, or PID for short, is a type of degradation more likely to occur in hot and humid climates. Its technical cause is positively charged sodium ions moving from a panel’s glass cover to its solar cells because they’re attracted to stray electrical currents. The result may look like snail trails on solar cells and can reduce a panel’s output by up to 30%.
The test for PID involves putting the modules in sauna-like conditions, as in the Damp Heat Test, while passing the panel’s maximum rated voltage through them for 96 hours.
Fortunately, solar panels from reputable manufacturers no longer suffer from a significant amount of PID. But there are some for which it is still a severe problem. Of the panels PVEL tested, 5% suffered more than 8% deterioration in output.
Light-Induced Degradation (LID) is a normal and usually minimal form of degradation in all P-type solar panels. Beyond an expected small amount, it’s usually not a problem.
Light and Elevated Temperature-Induced Degradation (LeTID) is a type of degradation that normally only occurs in significant amounts in PERC panels.
The test for both these problems involves subjecting solar panels to light as intense as full sunshine for 486 straight hours. That’s nearly three weeks.
Results show manufacturers appear to have both these problems well under control, as only one of the panels tested suffered degradation over 3%. PVEL attributed this to improvements in cell doping. This is where tiny quantities of the desired element are added to solar cells under controlled conditions.
Don’t try this at home, kids. The solar panel will never supply enough power to keep the lights going. Image credit: PVEL
PVEL only says which panels passed their tests and became what they call Top Performers. They don’t tell us which panels failed or if a module was tested at all. This means we can’t say a panel that didn’t get Top Performer status is bad. All we can conclude is that panels that did get Top Performer status are probably good. While it would be nice to have all the information, just knowing which ones we can be confident are good is still useful.
This year 15 manufacturers had one or more solar panels that passed all five physical tests. In the past, only a few panels at best would pass all the main tests, but this year 30 panels passed all five tests. If we don’t count otherwise identical panels that only differ in size, the number drops down to 17, but this is still a far better result than any other year.
I hereby declare the panels that were Top Performers in all five tests to be Champions of Toughness! I can’t guarantee the solar panels listed below will operate without problem for decades, but I’m confident the odds are good. While a panel may be made with a low-quality Bill Of Materials (BOM), which will reduce its reliability, this is not likely to occur if they are from a manufacturer with an Australian office that has made a credible commitment to selling here long-term. This is because they won’t want the expense of replacing panels that fail.
The same applies to any Australian company that imports panels from manufacturers that don’t have an office here. If the importer is a trustworthy and reliable company and intends to be in business for many years to come, then they are likely to ensure the panels they import are reliable.
Two things to note about the Champions are:
I’ve listed all 30 solar panels that are Champions of Toughness below. I included links to the panel’s datasheets if the manufacturer has them on their website and made them reasonably easy to find:
The number of panels that are Champions of Toughness are around an order of magnitude6 higher than previous years. This makes me confident that solar panels from good manufacturers have significantly increased in quality over the past few years. Not only have solar panels fallen dramatically in price over the past decade, they have also had large increases in reliability.
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Ronald was born more years ago than he can remember. He first became interested in environmental matters when he was four years old after the environment tried to kill him by smashing fist sized hailstones through the roof of his parents’ Toowoomba home. Swearing revenge, he began his lifelong quest to reduce the harm the environment could cause. By the time he was eight, he was already focused on using the power of the sun to stop fossil fuel emissions destabilizing the climate. But it took him about another ten years to focus on it in a way that wasn’t really stupid
I’d say Solar panels are possibly the single best value product on the market at the moment. Costs down 99% from what they were a few decades ago, near zero maintenance and they last for 20+ years.
What other product has a resume this good?
My experience of buying new things is they are designed to fail garbage in far, FAR to many cases, my solar and battery system is in the 30% of things Ive bought for my off grid life in the last 2 years that hasn’t failed me in some way.
Even the expensive top of the range stuff, like all 3 of my shurflo pumps had problems within a year, what drop kick thought making their pipe threads out of plastic was an acceptable design choice?
We really are just renting things before they go to landfill nowadays…
I’ve tried to run the numbers on solar panels and they have never been able to make sense for us from a purely financial standpoint. This is mainly due to us living in a small double story house (the max size system we can fit is only around 3-4KW) and our very low average daily usage (around 3-4KW per day, depending on the month).
However, with the electricity price rises that are most likely just around the corner, I think I will consider them again soon.
With your super low electricity consumption, it will take much longer than most for solar to pay for itself. Especially since installing on a second story roof increases installation costs. But, depending on what kind of return you are happy with, a small solar system can still pay. If you have gas, you may find it is worthwhile to get rid of it and get solar and switch to being an all electric household. I expect residential gas prices will increase, as wholesale prices have gone through the roof recently.
Thanks for the advice. Our usage is defiantly super low. We are a 3 person household and our consumption is generally around 3/4 of what a one person household uses (according to our bill)! We do have gas, but it is pretty much only used for cooking and for hot water. We have gas ducted heating, but that is very rarely used (we use split systems most of the time). I agree that going all-electric would most likely be the best course of action, but my dad hates electric stoves, so unfortunately I don’t think that is going to happen, even though we plan to replace our kitchen within the next few months. I’m hoping for a payback period of around 5 years as we tend to move house every 10 years or so, so anything longer than that makes it not worthwhile. Around 2 years ago, which was the last time I checked, the payback time was around 8 years using some pretty optimistic assumptions around the cost of the system & the self-consumption portion. That being said, now that electricity prices are going up a lot, it could be a different story.
I’m afraid it probably will be difficult to get a payback period of under 5 years for a small 2nd story system but, depending on where you are, you may be able to get a solar feed-in tariff high enough to make it worthwhile.
I’m in Victoria, so the feed in tariffs here aren’t too bad, but I’m not able to get the Victorian Government Rebate as my household’s income is above the threshold. My current electricity plan allows for an 8c per KW feed in tariff, but I would obviously shop around for a better rate if I did get solar panels.
Even with the Solar Victoria rebate it would be hard to get a payback within 5 years for a 3-4 kilowatt system on a 2nd story roof in Victoria. But if you are interested in quotes you can get some through us here:
Ask for a budget system when the option comes up for a lower cost one.
So much interesting and useful information re solar in your newsletter – thank you. We are shortly moving to Toowoomba, a place known for occasional ferocious hail storms. This is a primary consideration for us potentially installing rooftop solar on our new home. In your Mechanical Stress Sequence testing in this issue, there is a mention of snow and cyclonic damage to panels, but nothing re hail which i imagine would be the most likely source of panel damage, particularly on relatively flat roofs.
Is there any information / statistics on this subject do you know …?
Ray Langford, “…nothing re hail which i imagine would be the most likely source of panel damage, particularly on relatively flat roofs.”
I’d suggest you check the Specification Sheets for the respective solar-PV panel units on your short-list that you may be considering. Look for impact resistance, wind & snow loading in the operating conditions section.
For example, the SunPower Maxeon 5 SPR-MAX5-xxx-RES (AU) series Specification Sheet says for: * Impact Resistance: 25 mm diameter hail at 23 m/s * Design Load: Wind 3600 Pa, 367 kg/m² back; Snow 5400 Pa, 917 kg/m² front Scroll down to the Product Datasheets at: https://sunpower.maxeon.com/au/solar-panel-products/maxeon-solar-panels
That should give you an indicative baseline to look for.
If toughness is a major concern for you then you may want to consider Solarwatt (https://www.solarwatt.com.au/). From memory they’re a German company whose focus is on quality\toughness rather than the biggest watt size.
Anyone have more recent experience with them, or able to recommend\review them?
Hello Ray. All solar panels in Australia are required to resist normal hail and can withstand 2.5cm hail directly hitting the panel. They may survive larger hail depending on its angle and speed. Generally speaking, any hail that can break roof tiles can break solar panels. While this type of hail is rare, it unfortunately sometimes does occur. On the bright side, solar panels will protect your roof and you can be better off with a smashed solar panel than a smashed roof. While some companies boast about how tough their panels are, they generally don’t make promises about increased hail resistance. You can rely on the fact that damaging hail is rare and cross your fingers that your roof won’t be affected. You can insure your system. (Winaico panels come with insurance hail and other damage for a limited time after installation.) While another option is to use panels that are lower cost, but still reliable.
Hi! Just wondering how the Hyundai panels faired in the Torture test? Are they included in this data. Hoping after doing my research before purchase wasn’t a wasted!🙄
Hyundai panels weren’t mentioned in this report. Presumably, they weren’t tested this year, although it’s not possible to know that from the information PVEL gives. But we do consider Hyundai panels to be reliable and can recommend them. They are on the graphic of panels we recommend in our Solar 101 guide:
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